Claude Code 一小时写一整篇实证政治学论文

斯坦福商学院胡佛研究所教授安德鲁·霍尔Andrew Hall 的研究表明 Claude Code 可以写出一整篇实证政治学论文。 To validate my claim that AI agents are coming for polisci "like a freight train", today I had Claude Code fully replicate and extend an old paper of mine estimating the effect of universal vote-by-mail on turnout and election outcome...essentially in one shot. 为了验证我关于人工智能代理“像货运列车一样冲向政治学”的说法，今天我请 Claude Code 完整复制并扩展了我一篇旧论文，估计普遍邮寄投票对投票率和选举结果的影响......基本上是一次性的。After careful prompting, Claude Code:经过细致提示， Claude 代码：(1) Downloaded the old paper's repo and replicated the past results, translating our old Stata Code into Python (2) Crawled the web to get updated official election data and census data (3) Ran new analyses extending the results through 2024 (4) Created new tables and figures (5) Performed a lit review (6) Wrote a wholly new paper (7) Pushed the whole thing to a new github repo 整个过程大约花了一个小时。This is an insane paradigm shift in how empirical work is done.这是实证研究方式上的一个疯狂范式转变。